Oil prices slide after IEA casts doubt over demand outlook
OPEC logo is pictured ahead of an informal meeting between members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) in Algiers, Algeria September 28, 2016. REUTERS/Ramzi Boudina TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY
SINGAPORE (Reuters) – Oil costs fell quite one p.c on Wed, continued Tuesday’s slide when the International Energy Agency solid doubts over the past few months’ narrative of modification fuel markets.
Brent crude futures (LCOc1) were at $61.33 per barrel at 0515 GMT, down eighty eight cents, or 1.4 p.c from their last shut.
U.S. West American state Intermediate (WTI) crude (CLc1) was at $55 per barrel, down seventy cents, or 1.3 percent.
The price falls mean that crude costs area unit currently down by around five p.c since touch 2015 highs last week, ending a 40-percent rally between Gregorian calendar month and early Gregorian calendar month.
“Crude costs born dramatically when the IEA forecast a depressing outlook for the close to future … The drop was arguably exacerbated by a worldwide cut-rate sale in alternative commodities,” same Sukrit Vijayakar, director of energy practice Trifecta.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) on Tues cut its oil demand growth forecast by one hundred,000 barrels per day (bpd) for this year and next, to associate degree calculable one.5 million bpd in 2017 and one.3 million bpd in 2018.
“The oil market faces a troublesome challenge in 1Q18 with offer expected to exceed demand by 600,000 bpd followed by another, smaller, surplus of two hundred,000 bpd in 2Q18,” the agency same.
The demand delay may mean world oil consumption might not, as several expect, breach one hundred million bpd next year, whereas provides area unit doubtless to exceed that level.
The IEA report countered the Organization of the rock oil commercialism Countries, that simply on a daily basis earlier same 2018 would see a robust rise in oil demand.
Vijayakar same a according increase in U.S. crude inventories was conjointly advisement on costs.
The yankee rock oil Institute (API) same on Tues that U.S. crude inventories rose by half dozen.5 million barrels within the week to November. 10 to 461.8 million.
U.S. government inventory knowledge is due shortly Wed.
On the provision facet, rising U.S. output conjointly pressured costs.
U.S. production has already inflated by quite fourteen p.c since mid-2016 to nine.62 million bpd and is anticipated to grow more.
The IEA same non-OPEC production can add one.4 million bpd of further production in 2018.
The IEA’s outlook pressures international organisation to stay restraining output so as to defend crude costs, that its members deem for revenue.
OPEC and a few non-OPEC producers together with Russia are withholding production this year to finish years of oversupply.
The deal expires in March 2018 however international organisation can meet on November. thirty to debate policy, associate degreed it’s expected to agree an extension of the cuts.
“Anything but a full nine-month extension delivered at the November. thirty meeting may precipitate a sell-off,” U.S. bank Citi same.