Category Archives: Live MCX Crude Oil Inventory Calls

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20 Reasons Why the Buy/ Sell Signal Indicator will Fail / MCX COMMODITY

In recent time, it has been seen that the buyer seems to be more fascinated toward the Mechanical models. However, about such, they find themselves to lose in the market even after choosing different strategies. Here are some of the points that help to explain the reason due to which the trader fails through adopting the trading system with less knowledge.

Reason for Buy/Sell Signal Indicator Failure

Here are the 20 reasons due to which the buy and sell signal indicator eventually fails discussed below:

  1. In-adequate knowledge

The individual considers the fact that the buy-sell indicator seems to be predictive. However, in concerning to real-time frame, the mathematical indicator aka Auto buy or sell signal doesn’t have adequate knowledge to predict the randomness and therefore individual eventually fails at such point of instance.

  1. Wrong Motive

The buyers are looking to buy or sell the indicator that makes money.

  1. No Knowledge

The individual is willing to purchase or sell as per the indicator and doesn’t want to acquire the knowledge to gauge the buy or sell indicator. This is one of the significant issues that make the signal indicator gets failed.

  1. Subjective

The buyer, in recent time, is still trading with the subjective bias such as Trading Pattern, Divergence along with the process to purchase and sell as per the buy and sell signals.

  1. Random Buying

The buyer is jumping from one stock to another stock randomly in the instance of following the rules of buy and selling and then choose the trades randomly.

  1. Double Confirmation

The failure will also occur at the instance when the individual looks for double confirmation through different buy or sell indicators or correlate the indicators with Global Markets, News Events or comparing the broker or analyst calls with the signals.

  1. Lack of understanding

The individual doesn’t know how to backtest the trading system that tends to explain the nature of the trading system and probably doesn’t want to spend much of the time in understanding the basics of the trading system.

  1. Loss of Faith

The individual seems to lose the level of faith and reliability after encountering the 5-6 continuous losses in the trading system. When the level of assurance has been affected, it seems quite apparent that people prefer not to purchase the buy and sell indicators.

  1. Deadline troubles

There could be a condition that a purchaser is probably trading the signal in the wrong timeframe. When the deadline is chosen wrong, the chance of failure eventually increases to a great level.

  1. Incomplete Trades

The purchaser doesn’t seem to trade entire signals. This means that individual misses out the whole study due to which lacks some of the critical knowledge concerning to signal to trade.

  1. Irregularity

Some of the individuals seem to be lunch or dinner time trader and willing to trade signal only during such times.

  1. Wrong Anticipation

Attaining the trades based on anticipation of the future signal instead of selling the actual signals will lead to signal indicator failure.

  1. Averaging

Averaging the trades, even the market moves against the position a little bit.

  1. Improper Understanding

The purchaser seems too lazy in the process of trading and doesn’t correctly follow the purchase and sells rules. We recommend that purchaser should to understand the rules effectively and act accordingly to maintain the level of reliability among the overall systems,

  1. Traditional Approach

The purchaser tends to employ the usual trading system amid individuals who have been invented somewhere around 1960 or 1980. With the change in market trends and advancement, the individual should keep themselves up to date.

Other Major Reasons

  1. The most popular books have knowledge regarding the trading system which can come handy at times. But these mechanical tools tend to work on algorithms.
  2. The individual do not have the knowledge about the fact that buying or sell indicator seems to work only at specific trading. Which leads to him taking the same risk through out the whole process of trading.
  3. Sometimes, individual views the best part of the trading system and becomes confident to trade the subsequent signals. Which eventually missing out the overall representation of the system in an effective manner.
  4. The buyer seems to understand the mathematical logic behind the purchase and sell indicator only when he or she entirely shows interest in following it.
  5. It has been seen that there are various advertisement available on the social sites. Like Facebook and Twitter that offers 90% guaranteed success and individual follows and purchase at any cost.

Conclusion

These are some of the primary reasons. Due to which buy and sell indicator will fail a buyer find it challenging to choose the appropriate one. The purchaser should put immense consideration to avoid any sort of error. If you have any suggestion in concern to the discussion, please let us know.


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Why is it essential to follow crude oil inventories ?

What’s the gist?

Once every week, The Energy Information Administration gives us an insight into what the future hold regarding crude oil. This is determined by releasing the crude oil inventory numbers. There are a lot of people and trackers who are very much interested in this information because the volume of oil that the commercial companies possess in their inventory impacts the price of oil for consumers in a comparatively predictable way

What is the COI number?

The Crude Oil Inventory number lists out the amount of crude oil the private and commercial firms have in their inventory possessions. These firms are required to report their levels of crude oil inventory to the Energy information Administration every week, but the EIA makes the final estimates to arrive at an approximate number.

How are crude oil inventories significant?

It is a known fact that the oil prices determine the underlying health of the country’s economy and that it cannot be underestimated. Below are some of the reasons why Crude Oil Inventories are important:

Price Determiner:

Inflation is directly proportional to oil prices. That means that when oil prices go up, inflation goes up and vice versa. Oil is a non-renewable resource that is a basic need for the operation of the economy. From manufacturing to heat to transportation, we use oil for everything. So, the price of crude oil usually determines the prices of other related products. For example, If the prices of the oil rise, the prices of consumer products and transportation rises and hence the overall cost of living increases by the same margin. In the US, during the time of inflated oil prices, the Federal Reserve even adjusts their rates to stop further inflation from happening. This is just one example of how much oil is interrelated with the overall economy of the US

Trading Benefits

There has been a significant rise in the practice of quantitative and algorithmic trading. This basic principle here is always to understand the way oil prices increase or decrease and the factors that are responsible for that. EIA provides the weekly data which provides lots of beneficial points that can help us understand the current condition of US oil supplies. Traders and trackers must also observe the international policies and politics to see if your government is exercising control over the oil prices and the production quotas. These governmental policy changes can profoundly impact the oil demand and supply rate.

However, one significant challenge that arises out of analyzing the perspective of energy markets is that the supply and demand of oil and affected by countless factors that cannot all be observed at the same time. Some of them include seasonal elements, geopolitical tensions, and even world events.

Which oil stocks you should observe?

The Crude Oil Inventory number is very significant for stakeholders in huge oil companies. Because this has the power of solely determining the rate at which it drops or rises. If you observe that the Crude Oil Inventory number is increasing, it is actually a bad sign for oil companies. And it will negatively affect the prices of the stocks. Because the shareholders usually tend to make more money when the crude oil prices are high. If the numbers are falling, it is a good sign for the oil companies. And as a result, will have a positive impact on the stock prices

Here are a few of the oil companies you should observe as a tracker or a trader:

  • Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE: XOM)
  • Chevron Corporation (NYSE: CVX)
  • PetroChina Company Limited (NYSE: PTR)
  • BP plc (NYSE: BP)

There are many factors when it comes to trading oil. But it only requires a little patience and insight and preparation. In order to ensure that you garb all the opportunities that the current market provides you with.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Crude oil is a significant determiner of many items as it is the number one source of energy globally. If the price of crude oil increases, it can virtually affect anything and everything that we buy. Crude oil prices affect the inflation rates, economy, and even the currency exchange market rates.

Check  Live MCX Crude Oil Inventory Report


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MCX Crude Oil Technical Report

MCX CRUDE OIL Technical Outlook:

dt : 21/11/2018

MCX Crude Oil Futures Technical Chart has taken the formation of “Right angled Ascending broadening wedge” pattern in daily time frame. Previously few sessions ended up bearish in trend after few consolidations inside the channel. As per the technical aspects based on the current price action, the market is expected to continue on bearish trend. The continuation of the trend will be conformed once the prices breaks below a key support holding at 3780. The  negative rally could be testing all the way up to 3700- 3600 levels in the upcoming sessions.

An alternative scenario indicates that if the key support zone holds strong then the market might have a chance to retest the same and revise the trend to bullish once again. such reversal could possibly test up to 3900 – 3960 and furthermore levels. key resistance holds at 3960.

For More Info Check Our Live MCX Crude Oil Inventory Calls.

 


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